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Baja Weather Synopsis

7/24/14 UPDATED 2PM MDT...A BULK OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE NOW PASSED OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR & ARE DRYING UP. ALTHOUGH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON THEY SHOULD NOT PROVE AS SEVERE AS THOSE THAT PELTED CABO SAN LUCAS THIS AM ...

Thursday, July 24, 2014 9:57 AM MDT A cell of strong rain and thunderstorms (red arrow) is working west from the mainland and brought storm conditions to Cabo San Lucas, San Jose del Cabo and East Cape this morning and may threaten La Paz later this morning. This system should pass quickly as the sun rises and the peninsula warms. Down south there are three tropical waves in our basin (orange arrow) the easterly most wave, south of the Tehuantepec currently has a low chance of development in the short term, all three waves may stimulate something as they move into the Pacific. Today will be a little cooler across much of the peninsula

Along the Pacific coast of Baja California, things will continue very pleasant in Ensenada today, with mostly sunny skies and temps in the upper 70's. The folks in Mexicali will trade them for some of that cool temps as they will rocket past 115°F today, one of the places in Baja that will be warmer today. Along the Sea of Cortez San Felipe will be partly cloudy with temps rising to close to 100°, cooling a degree a day through the weekend.

In Baja California Sur, Guerrero Negro be partly cloudy and temps in the mid 90's. In Loreto, they may escape this thunderstorm cell this morning as it is traveling further south. In La Paz at the moment we are on the cusp of this system moving west. The bulk of the rain may pass just north of La Paz in this cell. It will be significantly cooler in La Paz and further south as this system will suppress morning heating. Today will peak around 94°F or about 10°F cooler than yesterday here in La Paz. In Los Cabos and East Cape, they were hammered earlier with heavy rains and wind which will continue for a little longer this morning. Cabo is expecting 85°F today after the rain passes, look for 90°F in San Jose del Cabo and 93°F in East Cape.

Winds in the Sea of Cortez are expected to remain light and variable, mostly the result of local thermal conditions. Watch for very strong winds in the vicinity of thunderstorms. Most winds in Baja today will be the result of local thermal conditions.

On our Tropical Watch there are three areas of interest. The first and most local is an area of disturbed weather south of the Tehuantepec. A tropical wave is stimulating local showers and although it has a low chance of development in the short term may become more later in the week. The second wave south of Cabo isn't promising anything yet, but may develop further as it moves harmlessly off into the Pacific. A third and most westerly wave has a high chance of development as it too moves further away from us and the Mexican mainland into the Pacific.

 

 

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Guerrero Negro
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Current conditions in in Bajia de Los Angeles, MX
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Tropical Cyclone Names for the Eastern Pacific – 2014

active Indicates an Active System - Dissipated Systems show greatest intensity achieved

H4 Amanda

Genevieve

Marie

Trudy

TS Boris

Hernan

Norbert

Vance

H4 Cristina

Iselle

Odile

Winnie

TS Douglas

Julio

Polo

Xavier

TS Elida

Karina

Rachel

Yolanda

TS Fausto

Lowell

Simon

Zeke

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