Saturday, April 19, 2014 10:21 AM
MST Low pressure trough is running the length of the Sea of Cortez drawing Pacific moisture inland along the west coast of the peninsula and bringing winds from the WSW to much of the peninsula but this same breeze is going to push most of the clouds southeast of Cabo San Lucas. Folklore has it that the winds always blow on Semana Santa. An unusual prognostication, considering the range over which the date of Pascua (Easter) can float. But it looks like across much of the peninsula the old adage will prove true. Winds will blow from the WNW in the north to the WSW in the south to fill the void 15-19kts, diminishing through the day, but these winds will be with us through the first part of the week anyway. Flow in this direction brings cold/moist Pacific air inland from the west and the Pacific side of the peninsula is subject to stubborn marine layer and fog and depressed temps.
In Baja California, forecasts for the week ahead have been completely revised. The temps in Ensenada are now forecast to be in the low to mid 70's today and tomorrow, peaking on Monday around 78°F, then cooling again through the week with the chance of rain coming again at the end of the 10 day forecast. Inland in Mexicali, the west to east flow will bring cooler temps and the mid to upper 80's will make a trip to the deserts very pleasant. Along the Sea of Cortez San Felipe will be breezy through the 3 day period but temps will be very amenable today and tomorrow for beach activities in the mid 80's. Things will warm up into next week reaching close to 90°F on Tuesday.
In Baja California Sur, Guerrero Negro at the northern end of the state is looking at mostly sunny skies and temps in the low 80's through the forecast period. We'll include Santa Rosalia today, enjoying partly cloudy or more optimistically, partly sunny day with temps in the upper 70's. In Mulege look for partly sunny skies and temps in the low 90's. Loreto will be pleasant and partly cloudy with temps in the mid 80's. In La Paz today is it sunny and breezy with high temp expected around 87°F today. Things will warm up in Baja Sur through the week and by next week we could be seeing triple digits again. In Cabo San Lucas temps will be in the upper 70's with partly cloudy skies. Enjoy your day.
The Easter Weekend is prime time across Mexico for outdoor activities and the beach is the favorite location in Baja. Unfortunately, over consumption of alcohol is also a favorite of this fiesta. Watch for impaired drivers and don't become one. Police across both states will be having increased vigilance for impaired drivers and check points will be common on beach routes.