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Baja Weather Synopsis

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Thursday, July 31, 2014 1:09 PM MDT It is going to be another scorcher across much of the Baja peninsula, with the inland high deserts of Baja California the hottest, and the Pacific beaches of same the coolest. This upcoming weekend would be a great time for a trip to Ensenada and the wine country valley, temps are going to be in the upper 70's through the end of the week, but look for temps to warm quickly as you move inland. There is a chance of thunderstorms along much of the Sea of Cortez through the week. These thunderstorms pop up over the Sonoran desert and migrate west across the Sea from early afternoon to early morning. Some of the more ferocious ones make it all the way to the Pacific. Forecasts call for storms to begin making the crossing again tomorrow, but in this season check our animated satellite image in the early afternoon to see if one is headed your direction each day - any day this week is possible, anywhere from Mexicali to Cabo San Lucas.

In the rest of the northern state of Baja California; Tijuana will be at least 10°F warmer. Inland in Mexicali, it will be 113°F and humid, tomorrow look for the strong chance of thunderstorms and a few degrees cooler. In San Felipe expect plenty of sunshine and temps over 100°F this afternoon.

In Baja California Sur, Guerrero Negro is going to have partly cloudy skies and temps in the low 90's through the next 10 days. In Loreto, the skies will be mostly sunny and temps will rise to the mid to upper 90's with the best chance of thunderstorms on Saturday afternoon. Humidity is rising across the peninsula and it is beginning to feel like hurricane season. In La Paz it is crystal blue and windy this afternoon and temps are expected to top the 100°F with ease. In Los Cabos the airport areas and San Jose del Cabo will have temps in the low to mid 90's. In Cabo the Pacific flow will keep things cooler and temps will rise to the upper 80's and low 90's. Forecasts call for Cabo to have the best chance of afternoon showers, but the higher elevations and East Cape have a better shot. Again, much of the Sea side of the peninsula could have pop up thunderstorms through the early week next week.

Down south on the Tropical Watch we have a new area of interest coming up that is east in longitude of Cabo San Lucas. It doesn't mean much though as it is only given a low chance of development before it passes west of 114°W, and besides, it is WAY far south. There are two other areas of interest that are of any interest to us here in Baja as they are too far west into the Pacific.

This has been a weird tropical cyclone season so far in some ways and in others, it has been perfectly normal. The over-temperature waters of the Pacific for much of the coast of North America may pose a problem for us later in the season unless we get more storms now to relieve the heat. Read my other interpretations of our hurricane season so far and what it may mean in the weeks ahead as our hurricane season begins.

Tropical Cyclone Names for the Eastern Pacific – 2014

active Indicates an Active System - Dissipated Systems show greatest intensity achieved

H4 Amanda

active TD Genevieve



TS Boris

H1 Hernan



H4 Cristina




TS Douglas




TS Elida




TS Fausto




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