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Wednesday, July 23, 2014 7:24 AM MDT The High pressure (blue arrow) is keeping Baja clear and relatively dry as it keeps the trough and afternoon thunderstorms (magenta arrow) at bay, across the Sea of Cortez. As that High breaks down over the next 36hrs the force keeping those showers away will end and on Thursday look for a return to humidity and the increased chance of afternoon thunderstorms along much of the eastern side of the peninsula. Today may be one of the hottest days of the year across all of Baja. Down south we have a couple areas of interest off to the southwest. Both these areas of development (yellow arrow) are off our surface chart to the west and pose no threat to Baja or mainland Mexico.

Along the Pacific coast of Baja California, you can actually call it summer today in Ensenada, as temps crest 80°F today and remain in the upper 70's through the week. Tijuana will be about 5°-7°F warmer. Mexicali will be plenty toasty today with temps close to 115°F today, cooling a degree or two Saturday, but real relief is still months away. Along the Sea of Cortez in San Felipe it will be partly cloudy today and temps peaking around 97°F.

In Baja California Sur, Guerrero Negro will have partly cloudy skies and temps will reach into the mid 90's today, upper 90's tomorrow then into next week look for a cooling trend. In Loreto it will be mostly sunny and right around 100°F even as the thunderstorms move in on Friday. In La Paz we have blue skies and temps working toward 104°F today with thunderstorms possible tomorrow and cooling of Friday a few degrees. In Cabo San Lucas it will be partly cloudy and temps in the upper 80's today with the chance of thunderstorms on Friday.

Winds in the Sea of Cortez are expected to remain light and variable, mostly the result of local thermal conditions. Along the Pacific, the clockwise rotation of the High off the coast id providing winds from the NW to 22kts. These winds will diminish by Friday as the High dissipates.

On our Tropical Watch there are a couple of areas of interest, both are so far to the west that they do not appear on our Mexico surface chart. Neither system will affect Baja weather as they move toward the Central Pacific basin. The more easterly one has a high chance of development in the next 24hrs

The good news is nothing to sweat today for us in Baja, no other tropical cyclone formation is expected in the next 24hrs.


Tropical Cyclone Names for the Eastern Pacific – 2014

active Indicates an Active System - Dissipated Systems show greatest intensity achieved

H4 Amanda




TS Boris




H4 Cristina




TS Douglas




TS Elida




TS Fausto




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