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Weather for the Baja California Peninsula

Baja Weather Synopsis

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Monday, September 1, 2014 8:38 AM MD Happy Labor Day to our US friends. Today the heat will continue across much of the peninsula with the Pacific coast of Baja California being the most pleasant. Down south on our Tropical Watch we have an area of interest, 93E which will be worth keeping an eye on as this is the Baja California Sur tropical cyclone season and this system is developing very much inside a region from which our storms come at this time of year.

In Baja California, look for very pleasant conditions along the Pacific coast, as Ensenada will have sunny skies and temps in the upper 70's today, warming slowly to the low 80's in the coming weekend. Inland, Mexicali will be scorching, as will much of the southwest US, with temps climbing well above the 100°F degree mark through the end of the week, with some significant humidity as well. Along the Sea of Cortez look for lots of sun and temps just shy of 100°F through the week.

In Baja California Sur the heat will be accompanied by significant humidity and we will be watching the developing system currently off the southern coast of Mexico. In Guerrero Negro look for sunny skies and mid 90's through the first part of the week. In Loreto it will be sunny today and temps will peak just short of 100°F with humidity making it feel in excess of 102°F. In La Paz it will begin to cool, after several days of tortuous heat and humidity, the humidity will remain, with a good chance of afternoon thunderstorms and temps in the mid to upper 90's with cloud cover much of the day. The tip of the peninsula is going to remain cooler with an increased chance of afternoon thunderstorms increasing into the week as the system down south will begin to push clouds and moisture into the region. In Los Cabos it will be mostly cloudy today and probable thunderstorms today and into late week, Temps will peak in the upper 80's increasing along the tourist corridor, well into the 90's further east in San Jose del Cabo with high humidity making it feel several degrees warmer. Keep a weather eye on these developing thunderstorms on our Baja Satellite animation here.

On our Tropical Watch we are initiating coverage of area 93E. Potentially forming along the southern coast of Mexico, given a low chance in the next day or two, increasing to likely formation by mid week, the system is forecast to move even closer to the Baja peninsula late in the week than any storm yet this season. Long range storm track forecasts are still sketchy at best, depending much on the developing intensity of the system and shifts in upper level winds. Current long range forecasts still put this system south of Baja California Sur by several hundred miles late in the week, but also call for spin-off from the system to significantly increase the chance of thunderstorms in the southern half of the state from Tuesday forward. We will continue to update this system as it develops.

Enjoy your day.

Tropical Cyclone Names for the Eastern Pacific – 2014

active Indicates an Active System - Dissipated Systems show greatest intensity achieved

H4 Amanda

H5 Genevieve

H5 Marie

Trudy

TS Boris

H1 Hernan

active TS Norbert

Vance

H4 Cristina

H4 Iselle

Odile

Winnie

TS Douglas

H3 Julio

Polo

Xavier

TS Elida

H1 Karina

Rachel

Yolanda

TS Fausto

H1 Lowell

Simon

Zeke

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