Information on Tropical Depression Kiko
Kiko has weakened and passed beyond the threat
window for Baja California Sur. No further updates will be posted here until
historical data is available.
10/23/07 09AM MDT Kiko has been
downgraded to a Tropical Depression about 360 miles due southwest of Cabo San
Lucas. The storm is currently located near 18.6N 113.0W. The storm is moving
260° at 11kts.Central barometric pressure is estimated at
1007Mb and winds are
25kts
with gusts to 35kts. Baja Sur will probably not even benefit from rain from
Kiko.
Kiko is expected to degenerate into a tropical
low later today and turn to the NW.
Monday the storm continued to weaken and about
sunset the storm was 230 miles south of Cabo San Lucas. On Saturday that storm seemed to be gathering
intensity and forecasts call for Kiko to pass less than 100 miles south of
Cabo as a Category 1 hurricane. By late evening Saturday the storm began to
turn more to the west and intensity forecasts we revised downward. Friday the storm became better organized and
increased in intensity to just shy of hurricane status. On Thursday, 10/18, the storm was initially
forecast to make landfall on the mainland near Manzanillo on Monday.
However, late in the day forecasts were amended to have the storm turn to
the NW and continue to strengthen through the 5 day forecast period. During Wednesday, 10/17, Kiko strengthen
slightly and move the to the NE, picking up forward speed. Kiko again attained Tropical Storm status on
the evening of 10/16. Kiko was downgraded to a Tropical Depression at
3PM on 10/16. Tropical Storm Kiko evolved from TD15E on the morning of
October 16th.TD15E formed some 530 miles south of Cabo San Lucas on the
evening of October 14th.
Tropical cyclone activity usually tapers off in the
Eastern Pacific after the middle of October through the end of Eastern
Pacific Hurricane Season, November 30. The latest tropical cyclone to make
landfall in Baja occurred on October 13th when Tropical Storm Olivia came
ashore in 1967 north of Magdalena Bay ..
The namesake 'Kiko' also holds the record as
the only Category 3 Hurricane to ever make landfall in Baja. In a very
active cyclone year, 1989, Category 3 Kiko came ashore in the Eat Cape
region of Baja Sur in August 28th.
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