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Historical Look at Hurricanes in Baja Page 2

November Storms
YEAR DAY STORM NAME WIND SPEED (KTS) CAT
1951 29 NOTNAMED 45 TS
1970 4 SELMA 50 TS
1991 12 NORA 30 TD

Our look at hurricanes has been focused on Baja Sur, where the storms are a more regular occurrence. But eight Category 1 hurricanes have made it north of Guerrero Negro and three have made it all the way to the US border since 1948.Two have passed through Loreto and one through Mulege.

On the Pacific side the water is colder and few storms maintain hurricane strength much past Magdalena Bay. Weakened, these storms often travel up the outside of Baja and lash Turtle Bay and the Cedros Islands with tropical storms force winds and rain.

Northern Baja Storms

What about the monster storms? The good news is they haven't happen here in Baja like they do in the Caribbean. A Category 5 storm has yet to be generated in our region and according to our research nothing larger than a Category 2 storm has ever made landfall in Baja.

Most Powerful Storms
YEAR DAY STORM NAME WIND SPEED(KTS) CAT
1957 21 NOTNAMED 120 H4
1976 30 LIZA 120 H4
1976 30 LIZA 120 H4
1983 19 TICO 115 H4
1983 19 TICO 110 H3
1984 24 NORBERT 115 H4
1989 26 KIKO 100 H3
1996 12 FAUSTO 105 H3
2004 17 JAVIER 100 H3
2006 1 JOHN 100 H3
2006 16 LANE 100 H3
2008 11 NORBERT 100 H3


That's not to say our storms don't deserve respect. The most common mistake amongst hurricane prone areas on the east coast is complacency. Boaters should be well aware of anything in excess of a tropical depression. Land dwellers should recall a Category 4 storm, Liza,  in 1976 killed hundreds to thousands in La Paz from the flooding when a dam above the city burst. Liza never even made landfall in Baja, although the eye passed within 30 miles of East Cape on it's way to the mainland.

Hurricane Elena in the CaribbeanOne thing to keep in mind is to build, play and live keeping in mind a category 4 or greater storm could someday impact the Baja. Miami, Florida went for years enjoying few or small hurricanes then was hit by Andrew, a Category 5 storm. Build new housing clear of arroyos, provide adequate trussing and roof fastening to withstand hurricane force winds. An above all, heed weather warnings and evacuate when advised to do so.

Kiko, in 1989, was probably the most powerful storm when it made landfall in Baja. It is debatable if it was the only Category 3 storm to make landfall in Baja. There is conflicting data as to whether is was a 2 or a 3 when hitting East Cape. Fausto, once a Category 3 storm tracked a path of destruction from Todos Santos to La Paz. But according to NHC and Unisys records, it was a Category 1 storm by the time it made landfall on Baja and only had tropical storm force winds by the time it reached La Paz. Hurricane Liza in 1986 passed precariously close to Baja and maintained Category 4 strength up though the Sea of Cortez, until making landfall on the mainland south of Guaymas.

So there you have it, everything you needed to know about the history of hurricanes in Baja. In summary of the statistics, it would appear the real Baja Hurricane Season runs from the last week of August to the second week of October. So batten down the hatches, prepare and protect your life and property and wait for the season to pass!

Stay informed as our tropical weather season progresses. The BajaInsider will continue to have informative articles on hurricane preparedness and weather updates on our Hurricane Watch Weatherer page. Subscribe to the BajaInsider for free and receive email updates and weather bulletins.

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<<Return to Page 1

September Storms
YEAR DAY STORM NAME WIND SPEED (KTS) CAT
1949 10 Not Named 75 H1
1953 16 Not Named 75 H1
1957 21 Not Named 45 TS
1958 11 Not Named 45 TS
1958 11 Not Named 45 TS
1959 9 Not Named 75 H1
1962 21 CLAUDIA 45 TS
1964 7 TILLIE 45 TS
1965 25 HAZEL 45 TS
1966 28 KIRSTEN 45 TS
1969 5 FLORENCE 45 TS
1969 10 GLENDA 55 TS
1971 7 NANETTE 70 H1
1973 25 IRAH 90 H2
1976 30 LIZA 120 H4
1978 25 PAUL 40 TS
1986 23 NEWTON 70 H1
1988 7 DEBBY 25 TD
1993 12 LIDIA 85 H2
1995 4 HENRIETTE 80 H1
1995 14 ISMAEL 70 H1
1995 15 ISMAEL 70 H1
1996 13 FAUSTO 85 H2
1998 2 ISIS 60 TS
1998 2 ISIS 65 H1
1999 7 GREG 65 H1
2000 17 MIRIAM 30 TD
2001 27 JULIETTE 80 H1
2003 22 MARTY 75 H1
2006 1 JOHN 100 H3
2007 4 HENRIETTE 75 H1
2007 24 IVO 25 L
2008 11 LOWELL 30 TD


Once we get to October you would think that the season is winding down. Well, not exactly. The threat of tropical weather extends through the entire month of October. It is said the British Privateer Cromwell and Spanish explorer Cabrillo were taken by surprise in a late season storms.

Hurricane Nora off the coast of BajaBy October the Sea of Cortez has reached it's high temperature, acting as a magnet to the warm water hungry storms. In addition the high altitude steering winds now have enough strength to overpower the storms desire to head west. One look at the storm plot for October and you can see what I mean.  There are fewer storms than in September, but the path moves them right over Baja.

October Storms
YEAR DAY STORM NAME WIND SPEED (KTS) CAT
1955 2 NOTNAMED 45 TS
1958 3 NOTNAMED 75 H1
1958 4 NOTNAMED 75 H1
1962 4 DOREEN 75 H1
1962 4 DOREEN 75 H1
1963 18 MONA 75 H1
1967 13 OLIVIA 75 H1
1968 2 PAULINE 75 H1
1976 1 LIZA 120 H4
1976 28 NAOMI 40 TS
1978 5 ROSA 60 TS
1981 7 LIDIA 45 TS
1984 3 POLO 40 TS
1985 8 WALDO 75 H1
1986 1 PAINE 80 H1
1986 2 PAINE 80 H1
1987 1 PILAR 30 TD
1990 2 RACHEL 55 TS
1998 19 MADELINE 35 TS
2005 5 OTIS 20 L
2006 25 PAUL 40 TS
2008 11 NORBERT 95 H2

The good news is that by November 1st, like a line in the sand, the threat is over. Since 1950 only three tropical storms have even made it to within 250 miles of Cabo, none of them making land or achieving hurricane strength.

Monster hurricane Bonnie in the Atlantic