JOHN MAINTAINING 105-MPH WINDS…
SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
LOCATION…18.7N 110.5W
ABOUT 295 MI…470 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…969 MB…28.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of John.
Tuesday August 7, 2018 Tropical Cyclone John continues to strengthen about 320 miles south of Cabo San Lucas. Hurricane John is forecast to become a Major Hurricane (one of Category 3 or greater) later today as it moves to the northwest. John is currently forecast to past to the southwest of Cabo San Lucas by a couple of hundred miles as a diminishing Major Hurricane. Because this system will remain a powerful Major Hurricne within striking distance of the peninsula, the National Hurricane Center recommends that those with interests in the southern most portions of the peninsula remain informed as to the progress of Tropical Cyclone John.
Click here for the broader outlook for the weeks ahead in the Eastern Pacific.
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INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOHN.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 110.5W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT……. 30NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT……. 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…….100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.9N 111.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT… 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT…110NE 110SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N 113.3W
MAX WIND 95 KT…GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT… 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT…110NE 110SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.0N 115.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT…110NE 110SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.4N 117.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT… 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT… 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.6N 121.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 27.0N 124.7W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 27.0N 127.3W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
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Hurrcane John at 3PM MDT was located near 18.7N 110.5W and was moving 320° @ 9kts. Central barometric pressure was 969Mb and winds were 90kts with gusts to 110kts making John a strong Category 2 Hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend out 25-30 miles on the eastern side of the system, and 20 miles on the western side of John. Fifty knot winds extend out 50 miles on the eastern side of the system and 30-40 miles on the western side. Tropical Storm force winds extend out 100-110 miles on the eastern side of John and 70-90 miles on the western side. Twelve foot seas extend out 120-240 miles.
Hurricane John is forecast to move to the northwest through Friday, then turn west, away from the Baja peninsula. Current forecast have the system closest to the peninsula on Wednesday, at a distance of about 200 miles. Residence of the southwestern side of the tip of the peninsula should prepare for moderate to strong winds and some rain. The smae folks should monitor the progress closely of this developing tropical cyclone.
Additional information will be posted following the 3PM release from the National Hurricane Center. Graphics will be updated at 9PM.
