LOCATION…17.1N 111.8W
ABOUT 420 MI…675 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB…29.65 INCHES
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Tuesday 29 August 2018 Tropical Depression 16E has formed some 420 miles south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas. Tropical Depression 16E is forecast to rapidly evolve into Tropical Storm Norman, possible as early as late this afternoon. TD16E is forecast to move to the west and does not present a threat of landfall tot he Baja peninsula.
| 5 Day Forecast for Tropical Depression 16E |
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 111.8W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.7N 112.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.4N 114.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.8N 116.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.9N 118.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 18.5N 121.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
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At 9AM Tropical Depression 16E was near 17.1N 111.8W and was moving 295° at 9kts. Central Barometric presssure was 1004 and winds were 30kts with gusts to 40kts, making 16E just shy of Tropical Storm Intensity. TD16E is forecast to continue to move to the west-northwest, and being already west of Cabo San Lucas poses little threat to the peninsula. 16E is forecast to strengthen quickly and become a Tropical Storm later today and a Category 1 Hurricane by Thursday.
Update will be made to this page when the status of TD16E changes. Updates will follow releases from the National Hurricane Center at 9 and 3 o’clock.
