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AT 9AM FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI – KAY JOGS TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST…

SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...20.2N 112.6W 
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM NW OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

Forecast for Tropical Cyclone Kay

AT 9AM MDT TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 112.6W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
MOVEMENT 345° @ 5 KT
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT……. 0NE 0SE 50SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.6N 113.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 20NE 20SE 50SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.1N 114.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.7N 115.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT
34 KT… 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.3N 116.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

9AM MDT August 20, 2016, Tropical Storm Kay has reached its zenith as a moderate Tropical Storm some 255 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas. TS Kay took a bit of a jog to the north-northwest early this morning but now appears to have resumed the forecast track which will take it harmlessly off into the Pacific well to the west of Baja California Sur. The indirect effects of the system will be felt in the southernmost portions of the peninsula through the first of the week, with increased humidity and a regular chance of afternoon thunderstorms.

At 9AM Tropical Storm Kay was located near 20.2N 112.6W and was moving 345° @ 5kts. Central barometric pressure was 1000Mb and winds were 45kts with gusts to 55kts, making Kay a moderate Tropical Storm. Tropical storm force winds extend out 40 to 50 miles only on the western side of the system and 12ft seas extend out 90 miles in the east and 60 to 90 miles on the western side of Kay.

Tropical Storm Kay is forecast to encounter less favorable conditions on Sunday and cross the 26°C thermocline west of the peninsula early Monday and be reduced to a Tropical Depression. Tropical Storm Kay currently poses little threat to the Baja peninsula. Sudden and heavy rains and thunderstorms may occur in the extreme southern portions of the state, drawn westward from the mainland as a result of Kay’s passage through early next week.

The next update to this information will occur after the 3PM release from the National Hurriucane Center.

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